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November 12, 2008

City knows who did it

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, News, Vancouver, election, politics — admin @ 5:30 am

The $100m loan scandal is just getting juicier everyday!

Global TV reports tonight that city staff’s investigation into how the document was leaked (see Vancouver Sun) has made major progress. Going through surveillance tapes and entry swipe card records, the investigators now have a main suspect … who is a councillor!

Global didn’t say who the councillor was but hinted that this councillor is highly possible to return to city council after the election. So it should be someone who has a good chance of being re-elected…

Hmmm…. that’s the best scandal in years in BC.



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November 9, 2008

The ghost is still haunting

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, News, politics — admin @ 7:34 am

At a time when Harper seems to be loosening up? Had these “grassroots” spoken up before the election, there would be no Tory government. This country has no appetite for Bush’s right wing movement.

Grassroots Tories urging PM to move to right
Demands at next weekend’s policy convention could challenge Harper’s effort to soften party’s image

Globe and Mail — Grassroots Conservatives are urging Prime Minister Stephen Harper to act on long-standing demands of the Canadian right, such as less government and more health-care privatization, as they head into the party’s second-ever policy convention next weekend in Winnipeg.

Resolutions from Conservatives across the country have been whittled down to a few dozen that will be up for debate on the convention floor.

The final list includes demands that, if adopted, could challenge Mr. Harper’s efforts to soften the party’s image among those who aren’t traditional Conservatives.

“I think people are becoming impatient and they want to see some action. They want to see this government deliver a real, small c, conservative agenda,” said Gerry Nicholls, a conservative commentator with the Democracy Institute.

Mr. Nicholls said he expects traditional conservatives will be more vocal in their demands now that the party has two consecutive victories under its belt. He predicted resistance to Mr. Harper’s view that conservative policies must be adopted slowly so as not to alienate Canadian voters.

That tension may surface at the convention over several issues, including extra legal penalties for individuals who commit violence against a pregnant woman. The item is up for debate in spite of the fact that Mr. Harper distanced himself from the idea just days before the last election. His move blunted criticism that the measure, advocated at the time through a Conservative private member’s bill, could criminalize abortion indirectly.

The last time Conservatives gathered to vote on policy in 2005, Mr. Harper was spotted backstage kicking a chair in frustration as his young party threatened to unravel. In the end, Tories emerged united with a platform that sidelined thorny issues such as abortion and capital punishment.

Don Plett, the president of the party’s national council, said he expects lots of lively debate but pointed out the majority of the resolutions simply update policy to reflect the government’s decisions.

“Much of what we have there [in resolutions are] things that we have campaigned on in the past and the Conservative government has in fact implemented,” said Mr. Plett, who helped merge the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance in 2003.

Conservative Party spokesman Ryan Sparrow played down the potential impact of the convention resolutions on government decisions.

“They’re just like any other consultation you would have with any stakeholder group,” he said, confirming the government will not be bound by the Winnipeg decisions.

Neither Mr. Plett nor Mr. Sparrow would comment on specific resolutions.

Delegates from Calgary are proposing 10-year, renewable term limits for Supreme Court judges and a reaffirmation of Parliament’s power to ignore the court’s rulings through the notwithstanding clause of the Constitution.

The two resolutions relating to the Supreme Court fit with long-standing concerns expressed within the party over the power of the courts to change Canadian law.

The proposal to limit Supreme Court justices to renewable 10-year terms is among the few major new ideas to be discussed at next weekend’s convention.

But the debate over the Supreme Court will be largely symbolic, given that term limits can’t be imposed without changing the Constitution, said University of Alberta law Professor Joanna Harrington.

Liberal MP Marlene Jennings said the proposal would also politicize the judiciary, as they would be dependent on government for renewals.

“It would cast a pall over their independence,” she said.

Can you imagine if this country could still be named “Canada” if these agendas got put through?

Resolutions up for debate

  • Supreme Court judges Supreme Court of Canada judges should serve 10-year renewable terms.
  • Health care Provinces should be encouraged “to further experiment with different means of delivering universal health care utilizing both the public and private health sectors.”
  • Auto emissions Canada should match California’s more stringent standards.
  • Military parents If they die while serving Canada, their children should be given free tuition to postsecondary institutions.
  • Human Rights Commission The Canadian commission’s authority to investigate complaints related to hate messages should be removed.
  • Streamlining The government should “streamline government services and eliminate waste, unnecessary overlap and duplication between the levels of government.”
  • Free votes Replace current party policy that all votes, other than the budget and main estimates, are free votes, with the policy that a Conservative government will make “most votes free.”


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November 8, 2008

Good news: Harper turns conciliatory

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, News, Stephane Dion, Stephen Harper, politics — admin @ 2:47 am

The Harper government is finally toning down its antagonism towards their political enemies. I love that. In fact, if Harper et al are serious about long term governance, all of them should learn to be tolerant with dissenters. I wish that the Chinese politicians could also learn to pick up that manner. I’m already seeing Alice Wong showing a more moderate attitude lately. After all, this is OUR country, right? I just love cooperation between different people. Maybe that’s because I’m a Libra. :)

Harper seeks co-operation, not confrontation in Commons

CP - The Harper government is striking a conciliatory tone as it prepares for the opening of Parliament, emphasizing the need for co-operation on the economy and downplaying the potential for confrontation.

As part of the kinder, gentler tone, Prime Minister Stephen Harper had a “cordial and businesslike” meeting Friday with Liberal Leader Stephane Dion.

He plans to meet the two other opposition leaders in the coming days, consulting them on priorities for the new parliamentary session, which opens Nov. 18.

A senior government official says Harper intends to focus almost exclusively on the global economic crisis and measures to help Canada weather the storm.

The official suggests Harper isn’t eager to immediately push ahead with a series of tough-on-crime proposals, including stiffer sentences for young offenders and reduced use of conditional sentences.

All three opposition parties say they will oppose the measures, even at the risk of defeating the minority Conservative government.

“We are focused on the economy,” the official told reporters at a background briefing. “We are not seeking confrontation in areas that are secondary to the economic focus of this government.”

During last month’s election campaign, Harper declared that the crime measures would be matters of confidence, defeat of which would plunge the country into another election.

The official refused to say Friday whether that threat still holds. He said only that the government reserves the right to determine what matters are considered votes of confidence.

The official said Dion agreed with Harper that Parliament’s central focus must be the economy. The two further agreed that the government should speed up infrastructure investments, refuse to raise business taxes and review expenditures to find billions in savings.

“I think it bodes well for the return of the House that this initial meeting was cordial.”



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November 2, 2008

Canadians like McKenna, Manley, Ignatieff but not Rae

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, News, politics, poll — admin @ 6:22 am

Angus Reid release – As Liberal Party supporters begin the process of choosing a replacement for Stéphane Dion, a political figure who has already announced he would not seek the party’s leadership is regarded in high esteem by both Canadians and Grit supporters, a new Toronto Star / Angus Reid poll has found.

In the online survey of a representative national sample of 1,006 adults, 34% of respondents express a favourable opinion of former New Brunswick premier Frank McKenna, while 22% hold unfavourable views. McKenna has a favourability score of +12—the best rating of 13 Liberal figures included in the poll.

Canadians are evenly divided in their assessment of former deputy prime minister and finance minister John Manley (30% favourable, 30% unfavourable). Current deputy leader Michael Ignatieff has a momentum score of -4, followed by former Ontario education minister Gerard Kennedy at -5, and Willowdale MP Martha Hall Findlay at -7.

What Canadians think

Next on the list of Liberal figures is Beauséjour MP Dominique Le Blanc with -10, followed by former public works and government services minister Scott Brison and Ottawa South MP David McGuinty both with -13. Former Ontario premier Bob Rae, former immigration minister Denis Coderre, and former prime minister Paul Martin are all at -14. Former prime minister Jean Chrétien and outgoing leader Dion hold the lowest favourability ratings among Canadians (-22 and -39 respectively).

A majority of Canadians are undecided when asked their opinion about Kennedy, Hall Findlay, LeBlanc, McGuinty, Brison and Coderre.

Among respondents who voted for the Liberal Party in the 2008 federal election, five men surpass the 50% mark in favourability. McKenna is once again the leader at +37, followed by Martin at +30, Ignatieff at +28, Dion at +26, Chrétien at +21, Manley at +18, and Rae at +17. At least 45% of Liberal voters are undecided in their assessment of Hall Findlay, McGuinty, Coderre, Kennedy, Brison, and LeBlanc.

What Liberal supporters think

When asked about key traits for the next Liberal Party leader, 60% consider it “very important” for whoever takes over after Dion to have experience as an economic manager, and 50% want a person who is fluent in both official languages.

Almost half of Canadians (49%) think it is “very important” for the next Liberal leader to have experience in international affairs. Other issues—such as charisma (37%), experience in the federal cabinet (32%) and experience in provincial politics (32%)—are not as significant.

Finally, Canadians were asked when they expect the Liberals to form the Canadian government again. Almost three-in-ten (28%) believe a Grit administration will come after the next federal election, one-in-four (24%) believe it will take two federal ballots for the Liberals to return to power, and 18% believe the feat will require three or more federal elections.



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November 1, 2008

[GB] Why drag SUCCESS into politics?

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, Chinese Canadian, Guest Blogger, politics — admin @ 1:08 am

Guest blogger: Gabriel Yiu
To clearly stand out a guest blogger entry, all such headlines will begin with [GB].
Tung Chan, the CEO of SUCCESS, recently criticized NDP Leader Carole James’ economic plan on the Chinese radio. When the leader of the Chinese community’s prominent organization publicly condemned James, I must say I was puzzled. As an advisor to the BC Opposition, should I take the criticisms as an official statement of the organization, and report to the leader and suggest that she responds to the criticisms, if only as a matter of courtesy towards SUCCESS and the Chinese community?

Are Chan’s comments personal? Or are they a reflection of the position of SUCCESS? Although I would presume the former, would the Chinese public perceive the difference? (I presume Mr. Chan wouldn’t make the same political comments through the English media, or would he?) When the members of SUCCESS and the Chinese residents see Chan participating in community events and on the media, they see him as the chief of SUCCESS, so how can they differentiate the two roles when he is commenting on politics in his own capacity? When Chan was appointed to the position of CEO of SUCCESS, he vowed he would put aside his partisan politics.

Tung Chan is of course a former NPA Vancouver city councilor. He served alongside the then mayor, Gordon Campbell, and has been a very keen supporter of Campbell and his BC Liberal Party. Chan was also a key member of Brian Mulroney’s Progressive Conservative Party. Before working for SUCCESS, he was the vice-president of a major bank.

Throughout the years, I’ve debated with Chan many times on the Chinese media and his partisanship really impressed me. For example, during the era when the Reform/Canadian Alliance was the Official Opposition and the Progressive Conservative was near extinction, Chan could still say firmly on the media that his party would win the election. I can recall we once debated the problem of block vote in political party nominations. In order to cast a favorable light on his party, Chan said MP Chuck Cadman lost his party nomination because he was a lousy MP. The election result showed the contrary: Cadman was elected as an independent.

Since nearly 70% of SUCCESS’ revenue comes from the government, should its CEO be making political commentaries through the media? We certainly haven’t seen the administrators of other organizations like the Cancer Agency or advanced education institutions commenting on politics publicly, unless there were matters related to their institution, field or constituency, especially during highly sensitive election or by-election time.

On the Chinese radio, Chan criticized Carole James’ position to abolish the carbon tax. He opposed the NDP leader’s stand to increase the minimum wage. He agreed with the government’s refusal to help the forest industry. Chan also criticized the NDP’s governing record and praised the Liberals for their achievements in the past few years.

It’s well-known that Campbell’s carbon tax is highly unpopular. When you tune to the Chinese radio, you can hear commentators and open-line callers all slamming this unfair and ineffective tax. What James has done is listen to public opinion, promise to cancel the carbon tax but keep the Liberal tax cut. But she was criticized publicly by the leader of the largest Chinese community organization. Does SUCCESS have a position on supporting the carbon tax? If yes, when and where does this position come from? Is it a resolution of the board of directors or of its members?

Since the Liberal Party got into power in 2001, the government hasn’t raised the minimum wage; at the same time government fees and living costs have gone up rapidly. Campbell even introduced a $6 working wage…. We all know that most of the minimum-wage workers are immigrant, women and ethnic minorities, many of them Chinese. SUCCESS is obviously an organization serving immigrant and ethnic communities, so why would its leader not fight for the welfare of immigrants, but side with the authorities against its constituents?

In the past two years, BC’s biggest industry, forestry, has been in a historic crisis: numerous mills closed, close to 20,000 workers lost their jobs, their families were in a dire situation and local economies were devastated. Chan supported the Liberal government’s refusal to assist. Does forestry relate to SUCCESS’ operation? If the government wouldn’t help an industry in difficulty, why did it spend huge amounts of taxpayers’ money to subsidize the oil and banking industries which have been making record profits? The Liberal government subsidized the oil and gas industry to the tune of $685 million in this year and the next, while the big banks got a tax cut of $220 million. On the contrary, the forestry industry and the small businesses that were seriously affected by the construction of Canada Line got no assistance from the BC government.

Mulroney’s corrupt Progress Conservative Party was badly defeated in 1993 but the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper was elected in 2006. When the leader of a political party made some serious mistakes, does it mean that that party is not qualified to govern again? If that were the case, only the Bloc, the NDP and the Green could govern federally.

Today, any knowledgeable person would realize that Canada’s good economy in the past few years was attributable to the high international commodity prices and the real estate boom resulting from the US government’s low interest rate, set after the bursting of the high tech bubble in 2001. It had indeed very little to do with the policy of the provincial government; otherwise, Gordon Campbell could also have claimed credit for the huge surge of the Canadian dollar.

Likewise, BC’s slow economic development in the 90s was very much affected by external factors. BC’s second largest exporting country, Japan, was in a long and painful recession then. The low international commodity prices and the 1997 Asian Financial Storm — these were influences that the BC and federal governments were powerless to change.

If the blame of external factors has to be borne by the governing party, then with the Wall Street financial tsunami knocking down our real estate market and economy in sight, shouldn’t the BC Liberal Party and the federal Conservative Party both take the blame?

Finally, regarding achievement, the writer would like to remind Chan that the office that you’re working in, the entire tower of the SUCCESS headquarters, plus the neighboring SUCCESS senior care centre, were funded by the NDP government (plus the museum archive of the Chinese Cultural Centre, the Millennium Gate, the Chinatown parkade and the CBA’s affordable housing manor etc.). Gordon Campbell has governed for almost eight years, what has he built for the Chinese community?

—————————————

Disclaimer: Views expressed by guest bloggers are theirs and may not represent those of CIV.



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October 23, 2008

For the record…

Filed under: , , BC, Canadian politics, Chinatown, economic tsunami, economy — admin @ 3:43 am

People interviewed by FTV tonight saying that the premier’s need to make an address on economy makes them feel that the danger facing BC is real.

“Otherwise, why does the premier choose to talk suddenly now?”

Are such opinions opposite to what the address would want to create? Pretty ironic. :)

This is what the premier’s office released tonight:

Premier’s address

The B.C. Government will take immediate steps to improve the province’s economic competitiveness and reduce costs for families and business in the wake of the global economic slowdown, Premier Gordon Campbell announced to British Columbians this evening.

“Today the world’s financial system is in the grips of its worst crisis in over 75 years. World stock markets are reeling, commodity prices are plunging and the world’s financial system is under attack,” said Premier Campbell. “The ripple effects are being felt in every corner of the globe and every region of our province. There are no easy solutions to these problems. However, we are going to act immediately to alleviate the impacts and to emerge stronger than ever.”

Premier Campbell outlined 10 key measures during his address:

1. Unlimited deposit insurance for deposits to credit unions: The Province intends to provide unlimited deposit insurance protection on deposits to British Columbia’s credit unions effective immediately. Deposits at credit unions were formerly insured up to a level of $100,000. All credit unions in the province have deposit insurance through the Credit Union Deposit Insurance Corporation. The new protection will apply to deposits currently covered by this insurance. This brings B.C. in line with Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, PEI, and New Brunswick, which all also provide unlimited provincial deposit insurance protection. Quebec, Nova Scotia and Newfoundland cover $250,000. Ontario provides $100,000 per registered account.

2. A new pension opportunity: The Province will create a new private sector pension opportunity for British Columbians who currently have no access to a pension plan. About 75 per cent of private sector workers in B.C. currently have no access to a group pension plan. Flowing from work done with the Joint Expert Panel on Pension Standards with Alberta, in the months ahead the government will spearhead the creation of a privately financed, defined contribution plan that will be available to employers, employees and self-employed people on a voluntary basis.

3. An accelerated, retroactive personal income tax cut: There will be a five per cent personal income tax reduction retroactive to January 1, 2008. This includes the two per cent tax cut that took effect July 1 of this year as well as the planned three per cent reduction that was to take effect January 1, 2009. Taxpayers will see the retroactive benefit on their 2008 tax return. It will put an additional $144 million in the pockets of British Columbians.

4. School property tax rebate for industry: 50 per cent of all school property taxes will be rebated to light and heavy industry to help some of B.C.’s oldest and largest employers, particularly in rural British Columbia. It will save industry about $115 million over the next three years and is on top of the approximately $24 million in annual benefits to heavy industry announced in the 2008 budget. This builds on the plan to have the lowest corporate income tax rate in Canada by 2011.

5. Accelerated tax relief for small business: Effective December 1, 2008 the small business income tax rate will be reduced to 2.5 per cent from the current 3.5 per cent. Small business income tax rates were already reduced from 4.5 per cent to 3.5 per cent on July 1, 2008 with a plan to reduce them to 2.5 per cent by 2011. This will accelerate that tax cut by two years, resulting in a 44 per cent tax cut for small business this year alone. The savings to small business will be $146 million over three years.

6. Double commission paid to business for PST and HRT collection: The Province will double the commission it pays business for collecting the provincial sales tax and hotel room tax. That will provide more than 100,000 businesses with approximately $60 million over three years and add up to $1,200 to a business’s bottom line.

7. Accelerated public infrastructure: The Province will accelerate public investments in capital infrastructure projects. Funding will focus on projects without a long lead time that will keep people employed in our construction sector.

8. 33 per cent reduction in ferry fares for December and January: The Province will fund a 33 per cent reduction of ferry fares on all routes for December and January. This is on top of the upcoming 50 per cent reduction in the fuel surcharge on ferry fees that will come into effect November 4. In addition, ferry service levels for all routes, including the Sunshine Coast will be restored. This will require a one-time, $20-million investment.

9. Rein in avoidable government spending: The Province will re-evaluate spending priorities and focus on scaling back unbudgeted increases.

10. Recall the Legislature: As a number of these measures require legislative approval, the Legislature will be recalled on November 20.

These measures account for an additional accumulation of $485 million in tax relief and support for businesses, families and individuals over the next three years.

“These measures are as aggressive as our current fiscal outlook allows, without compromising our ability to balance the budget or cut previously planned funding lifts for critical government services such as health care and education,” said Premier Campbell “These measures will provide relief for families, workers and businesses by putting more money back into taxpayers’ pockets.”

Earlier in the day, Premier Campbell announced a series of initiatives to ensure the province is getting the best possible input and expert advice on ways to improve in competitiveness and productivity. They include:

* A new Economic Advisory Council composed of some of Canada’s top CEOs, academics and economists.

* A “New North” Economic Summit will be organized for January in Prince George and will focus on the unique opportunities and challenges in that region.

* A two-day Economic Summit will be held in Vancouver in late January to look at ways to capitalize on economic opportunities.

* New measures will be taken to implement the Trade, Investment and Labour Mobility Agreement with Alberta. The agreement will be fully implemented by April 1, 2009 and create the second-largest economy in Canada.

* B.C. will work with other provinces and the federal government to eliminate regulatory duplication and reduce costs of federal-provincial overlap.

This is the NDP’s response:

Gordon Campbell’s response to the economic crisis will do nothing to address the real challenges British Columbians are facing, New Democrat leader Carole James said tonight.

“British Columbians deserve a substantial economic plan. But all they got was ten points scribbled on the back of a napkin. Gordon Campbell says he finally woke up to the economic crisis, but he delivered very little to show that he really gets it,” said James. “The biggest disappointment was the premier’s failure to remove the gas tax.”

James said that if Campbell were really serious about helping British Columbians through tough times, he would listen to public concerns and axe the gas tax.

“People all across the province and the political spectrum have told the premier that it’s wrong to bring in a new tax when the economy is hurting. The gas tax hits average families and small businesses, and it hurts workers trying to keep their jobs during economic instability,” said James.

“Unfortunately, the premier’s address tonight was more about his political fortunes in the two up coming by-elections and in the provincial election next May than it was about helping working families facing tough times.”

James said the premier’s decision to wait until November 20 to recall legislature isn’t good enough.

“If he were serious, we would be tackling these issues in the legislature right now,” she said.

James also noted that Premier Campbell refused to show any personal leadership by cutting the millions of dollars a year on unnecessary advertising, expensive travel for friends and insiders, and extra perks for cabinet ministers.

“A real leader leads by example. If Gordon Campbell was serious, he would roll back the obscene pay raises for his top advisors and he would get serious about government waste,” said James.

James noted that even when Gordon Campbell has had money from the commodity and construction boom pouring into government coffers, he has wasted the chance to help the middle class.

“Tonight Gordon Campbell showed that he still is not focused on the fundamentals. He has other priorities: cost overruns on pet projects; a gas tax that hits families and businesses; a pay raise for his top aides. British Columbians are fed up with his arrogance, and tonight he didn’t do anything to show that he’s really changed,” said James.



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October 15, 2008

Ontario voters propel Harper into victory: Nanos

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, Election 2008, election — admin @ 11:32 am

Nanos - The research showed a positive trend line for the performance of Stephen Harper on the closing weekend. A look at the numbers indicates that the magnitude of the Harper victory was primarily driven by voters in the province of Ontario where the Conservatives closed the campaign with a five point margin over the Liberals (39%-34%). Nervousness on the state of the economy likely drove Ontario voters to the Conservatives as the safest comparative choice.

The CPAC-Nanos tracking showed a significant pick-up for the Conservatives on Sunday (our last day of tracking) very consistent with the final support for all the major parties.

Of note, it would seem that Stephane Dion has now registered the lowest popular support in a general election in the history of the Liberal Party of Canada at 26.3% - lower than the 28% received by John Turner in 1984.

For your review, here are the results of the final day of tracking on Sunday posted on our website compared to the election outcome and also the final three day rolling average compared to the outcome.

These stats were reported in our release on Monday afternoon.

Polling Sunday Evening Only

* Conservative Support – CPAC-Nanos Tracking 37.1%, Election 37.7%
* Liberal Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 26.7%, Election 26.3%
* NDP Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 20.3%, Election 18.1%
* BQ Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 8.7%, Election 10.0%
* Green Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 7.1%, Election 6.8%

Polling Friday Saturday Sunday

* Conservative Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 34.2%, Election 37.7%
* Liberal Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 26.7%, Election 26.3%
* NDP Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 21.4%, Election 18.1%
* BQ Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 9.5%, Election 10.0%
* Green Support - CPAC-Nanos Tracking 8.2%, Election 6.8%



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October 13, 2008

National, provincial predictions as of Oct 12

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, Election 2008, election, poll — admin @ 6:24 am

Seat predictions from the Election Prediction Project and democraticSPACE.


EPJ
DS
National BC Ont Que National BC Ont Que
Conservative 120 17 43 8 128 23 43 7
Liberal 81 3 42 14 92 5 47 14
NDP 33 9 14 1 34 8 16 1
Green 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BQ 51 0 0 51 52 0 0 52
Other 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1
Too close 21 7 7 0
Total 308 36 106 75 308 36 106 75

To compare, you may check out:

Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 5

Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 8

Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 10

Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 12



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Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 12

Filed under: , , Canadian politics, Chinatown, Election 2008, election, poll — admin @ 6:07 am

Riding predictions from the Election Prediction Project, Vote for Environment project and democraticSPACE.

To compare, you may check out:

National, provincial predictions as of Oct 12

Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 5

Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 8

Metro Vancouver riding predictions as of Oct 10

RIDING VFE PROJECTIONS EPJ PROJECTIONS DS PROJECTIONS
Buranby-Douglas NDP - 16094Liberal - 14054

Conservative - 13624

Green - 5422

NDP NDP

NDP - 33-37%

Liberal - 26-30%

Conservative - 25-29%

Green - 8-12%

Burnaby-New Westminster NDP - 16260

Conservative - 12508

Liberal - 11556

Green -5082

NDP NDP

NDP - 36-40%

Conservative - 25-29%

Liberal - 23-27%

Green - 8-12%

Richmond Liberal - 17045Conservative - 16895

Green - 5312

NDP -5003

Conservative Too close

Conservative - 38-42%

Liberal - 37-41%

NDP - 10-14%

Green - 8-12%

Surrey North NDP - 15406

Conservative -9979

Liberal -5507

Green -3693

Other - 1136

Too close Too close

Conservative - 35-39%

NDP - 34-38%

Liberal - 13-17%

Green - 6-10%

Vancouver Centre Liberal - 22638

NDP - 14933

Conservative - 11868

Green - 7712

Other - 118

Liberal Liberal

Liberal - 36-40%

NDP - 22-26%

Conservative - 19-23%

Green - 14-18%

Vancouver East NDP - 22860

Liberal -8148

Green - 5774

Conservative -5767

NDP NDP

NDP - 48-52%

Liberal - 21-25%

Conservative - 12-16^

Green - 10-14%

Vancouver Kingsway Liberal - 17235

NDP - 15212

Conservative -8828

Green -4841

Other -96

NDP Too close

Liberal - 34-38%

NDP - 32-36%

Conservative - 18-22%

Green - 7-11%

Vancouver South Liberal - 19174

Conservative - 11997

NDP -8102

Green -4780

Liberal Liberal

Liberal - 41-45%

Conservative - 26-30%

NDP - 17-21%

Green - 7-11%

Vancouver Quadra Conservative - 10095Liberal - 9486

Green - 6049

NDP - 2749

Liberal Too closeLiberal - 35-39%

Conservative - 32-36%

NDP - 14-18%

Green - 10-14%

West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-

Sea to Sky Country

Conservative - 23096

Liberal - 21834

Green - 10234

NDP - 8705

Conservative Conservative

Conservative - 44-48%

Liberal - 17-21%

NDP - 17-21%

Green - 13-17%



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October 12, 2008

Chan’s opponents talk strategic voting

This is interesting…. quite a number of my Richmond friends say they are voting strategically, although they never like (if not hate) Raymond Chan. Wonder how many voters would do that to make it sail for Raymond Chan. Too bad an Augus Reid poll on strategic voting didn’t include riding-by-riding breakdown.

But Alice Wong is getting a number of big names in the Chinese community to rally for her, SUCCESS’s Tung Chan being one of them (yea, you hear it right), Chinese votes may be in her favour this time.

Richmond Review:

Incumbent Liberal Richmond MP Raymond Chan is getting a boost from unexpected sources.

With the federal election just three days away, Chan’s rivals, NDP candidate Dale Jackaman and Green candidate Michael Wolfe, are admitting they’d like to see the Conservatives unseated in Ottawa.

Jackaman stopped short of openly urging his supporters to vote Liberal on Tuesday, but said that Richmond is hardly a stranger to strategic voting.

“We’re trying every which way to get rid of them (Conservatives). It most definitely crosses political boundaries.”

Jackaman asked local voters to “vote their consciences” and said: “Richmond is known for holding their nose and voting for another party. Strategic voting does happen in Richmond.

“If Conservatives win on Tuesday, I will spend until the next election reminding voters how poorly they choose.”

Richmond Green party candidate Michael Wolfe said he heard Green party leader Elizabeth May say she did not want to be the Ralph Nader of this election, a reference to Nader feeling he was the reason that George W. Bush beat Al Gore (who went on to become a climate change crusader, creating the documentary An Inconvenient Truth) in the 2000 U.S. presidential election.

“I heard that yesterday when,” said Wolfe Thursday. “I could almost say the same thing for me in this riding.”

Wolfe said he’ll be cheering for the Liberals to unseat the Conservatives, but at the same time wants Conservative Alice Wong to replace incumbent Raymond Chan in Ottawa.

“I feel we just need to have anything but the Conservatives in power.”

He prefers Wong because of her position in favour of preserving the Garden City lands, a 55-hectare parcel of land in downtown Richmond which is currently being considered for removal from the Agricultural Land Reserve.



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